Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
51%
Libya are the narrow pick at 39%, against 33% for Cape Verde and 29% for a draw. Expected goals of 1.30 and 1.17 point to a tight game. The model rates Cape Verde higher overall, 28th to Libya's 61st, so treat this as close, not certain.
Libya
Above average
Cape Verde
Above average
1
Libya
1
Draws
2
Cape Verde