Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
46%
The model makes Spain the favourites at 57%, with a draw at 26% and Cape Verde at 17%. Expected goals are 1.67 for Spain and 0.81 for Cape Verde, and Cape Verde's attack runs into Spain's second-ranked defence. Over 2.5 sits at 45%, so the goals markets offer little edge.
Spain
Above average
Cape Verde
Above average
0
Spain
1
Draws
0
Cape Verde