New Caledonia vs Vanuatu prediction, International Friendlies
International Friendlies · Round 3Full time
New Caledonia
4-0
Vanuatu
Model's readStade Numa Daly
1 31%X 26%2 43%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
69.0%
xG
1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
New CaledoniaLLWLW
VanuatuWDWDWMatch analysis
Model generatedVanuatu favoured at 43%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.37 goals for New Caledonia and 1.65 for Vanuatu, giving 31% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 43% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.37 - 1.65
- Clean sheet chance: New Caledonia 19%, Vanuatu 25%
Match result
1X2New Caledonia31.0%
Draw25.7%
Vanuatu43.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.3
New Caledonia
Average
6.0
Vanuatu
Above average
New CaledoniaLast 10 gamesVanuatu1.50Points per game1.80
1.6Goals scored per game2.0
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored80%
30%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 9 meetings5
New Caledonia
2
Draws
2
Vanuatu
- 27 Sept 26Vanuatu 4-1 New Caledonia
- 8 Oct 23New Caledonia 4-0 Vanuatu
- 17 Nov 18Vanuatu 2-2 New Caledonia
- 14 Nov 18Vanuatu 0-1 New Caledonia
- 24 Jan 11Vanuatu 0-0 New Caledonia