Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia prediction, International Friendlies
International Friendlies · Round 3Full time
Papua New Guinea
1-3
New Caledonia
Model's readStade Yoshida
1 46%X 27%2 26%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
74.9%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
49%
Both score
53%
Form
Full stats →
Papua New GuineaDLLDW
New CaledoniaLLWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedPapua New Guinea favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.53 goals for Papua New Guinea and 1.10 for New Caledonia, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.53 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Papua New Guinea 33%, New Caledonia 22%
Match result
1X2Papua New Guinea46.3%
Draw27.4%
New Caledonia26.3%
Model rating
All ratings →5.0
Papua New Guinea
Average
5.3
New Caledonia
Average
Papua New GuineaLast 10 gamesNew Caledonia1.30Points per game1.50
0.8Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored50%
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 2 meetings0
Papua New Guinea
0
Draws
2
New Caledonia
- 24 Sept 26Papua New Guinea 1-2 New Caledonia
- 11 Oct 23Papua New Guinea 1-3 New Caledonia