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Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu prediction, International Friendlies

International Friendlies · Round 3Full time

Papua New Guinea

0-1

Sat, 14 Oct

Vanuatu

Model's readStade Numa Daly
1 33%X 27%2 40%

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

67.5%

xG

1.3 – 1.5

Over 2.5

52%

Both score

57%

Form

Full stats →
Papua New GuineaDLLDW
VanuatuWDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

Vanuatu favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.30 goals for Papua New Guinea and 1.46 for Vanuatu, giving 33% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 40% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
  • Expected goals: 1.30 - 1.46
  • Clean sheet chance: Papua New Guinea 23%, Vanuatu 27%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Papua New Guinea v Vanuatu

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Papua New Guinea32.5%
Draw27.3%
Vanuatu40.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.0

Papua New Guinea

Average

6.0

Vanuatu

Above average

Papua New GuineaLast 10 gamesVanuatu
1.30Points per game1.80
0.8Goals scored per game2.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Over 2.5 goals70%
40%Both teams scored80%
40%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score0%

Recent results

Papua New GuineaDLLDW
  • 30 SeptHSolomon Islands1-1
  • 27 SeptAFiji0-2
  • 24 SeptHNew Caledonia1-2
  • 23 NovHVanuatu1-1
  • 20 NovHFiji2-0
  • 13 NovHSolomon Islands1-0
VanuatuWDWDW
  • 27 SeptHNew Caledonia4-1
  • 24 SeptASolomon Islands3-3
  • 21 SeptAFiji1-0
  • 9 JunHFiji2-2
  • 6 JunHFiji2-1
  • 23 NovAPapua New Guinea1-1

Head to head

Last 3 meetings

1

Papua New Guinea

1

Draws

1

Vanuatu

  • 23 Nov 25Papua New Guinea 1-1 Vanuatu
  • 21 Dec 24Vanuatu 1-2 Papua New Guinea
  • 14 Oct 23Papua New Guinea 0-1 Vanuatu
Every meeting between these two →