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Senegal vs Gambia prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 1Full time

Senegal

3-0

Mon, 15 Jan

Gambia

Model's readYamoussoukro
1 56%X 23%2 20%

Our pick ★ Strong

Home or Draw (1X)

79.8%

xG

1.9 – 1.1

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

56%

Form

Full stats →
SenegalWLWLL
GambiaLLDWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Senegal favoured at 56%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.91 goals for Senegal and 1.06 for Gambia, giving 56% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
  • Expected goals: 1.91 - 1.06
  • Clean sheet chance: Senegal 34%, Gambia 15%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Senegal v Gambia

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Senegal56.4%
Draw23.4%
Gambia20.2%

Model rating

All ratings →
6.0

Senegal

Above average

5.2

Gambia

Average

SenegalLast 10 gamesGambia
1.30Points per game1.40
1.8Goals scored per game2.2
1.6Goals conceded per game1.6
70%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets20%
20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

SenegalWLWLL
  • 4 OctAComoros1-0
  • 1 JulABelgium2-3
  • 26 JunHIraq5-0
  • 22 JunANorway2-3
  • 16 JunAFrance1-3
  • 9 JunASaudi Arabia0-0
GambiaLLDWL
  • 29 MayAIran1-3
  • 31 MarASenegal1-3
  • 18 NovAKuwait2-2
  • 14 OctASeychelles7-0
  • 10 OctHGabon3-4
  • 9 SeptHBurundi2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

5

Senegal

5

Draws

0

Gambia

  • 31 Mar 26Senegal 3-1 Gambia
  • 15 Jan 24Senegal 3-0 Gambia
  • 11 Oct 08Senegal 1-1 Gambia
  • 8 Jun 08Gambia 0-0 Senegal
  • 7 Jun 03Senegal 3-1 Gambia
Every meeting between these two →