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Zambia vs Morocco prediction, Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time

Zambia

0-1

Wed, 24 Jan

Morocco

Model's readSan-Pédro
1 10%X 21%2 69%

Our pick

Away Win

68.9%

xG

0.6 – 1.9

Over 2.5

46%

Both score

38%

Form

Full stats →
ZambiaLLLDD
MoroccoLWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Morocco favoured at 69%, in a middling game

The model projects 0.58 goals for Zambia and 1.92 for Morocco, giving 10% for the home win, 21% for the draw and 69% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

  • Most likely scoreline: 0-1 at 15%
  • Expected goals: 0.58 - 1.92
  • Clean sheet chance: Zambia 15%, Morocco 56%

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

Zambia v Morocco

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
Zambia9.8%
Draw21.3%
Morocco68.9%

Model rating

All ratings →
4.9

Zambia

Average

6.2

Morocco

Above average

ZambiaLast 10 gamesMorocco
0.50Points per game2.10
0.5Goals scored per game2.2
2.1Goals conceded per game0.8
50%Over 2.5 goals50%
30%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets40%
60%Failed to score10%

Recent results

ZambiaLLLDD
  • 31 MarAArgentina0-5
  • 29 DecHMorocco0-3
  • 29 DecAMorocco0-3
  • 26 DecHComoros0-0
  • 22 DecAMali1-1
  • 16 DecADR Congo0-2
MoroccoLWDWW
  • 9 JulAFrance0-2
  • 4 JulACanada3-0
  • 29 JunANetherlands1-1
  • 24 JunHHaiti4-2
  • 19 JunAScotland1-0
  • 13 JunABrazil1-1

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

1

Zambia

1

Draws

8

Morocco

  • 29 Dec 25Zambia 0-3 Morocco
  • 29 Dec 25Morocco 3-0 Zambia
  • 8 Sept 25Zambia 0-2 Morocco
  • 7 Jun 24Morocco 2-1 Zambia
  • 24 Jan 24Zambia 0-1 Morocco
Every meeting between these two →