São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Under 3.5 Goals

79.8%

xG

1.2 – 1.1

Over 2.5

41%

Both score

47%

Form

Full stats →

São PauloWLLWL

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Match analysis

Model generated

São Paulo favoured at 40%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.24 goals for São Paulo and 1.06 for Atlético Mineiro, giving 40% for the home win, 30% for the draw and 30% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.24 - 1.06
Clean sheet chance: São Paulo 35%, Atlético Mineiro 29%

Match result

1X2

São Paulo39.5%

Draw30.0%

Atlético Mineiro30.5%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.2

São Paulo

Average

6.3

Atlético Mineiro

Above average

São PauloLast 10 games

Atlético Mineiro

1.30Points per game1.90

1.0Goals scored per game1.6

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

50%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets30%

30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

São PauloWLLWL

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo 0-0	29	+32	61
2	Palmeiras 2-0	29	+28	60
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense 0-0	29	+8	49
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro	27	+4	40
8	Santos	27	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians 0-2	29	-5	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16▲	Internacional 1-0	29	-5	31
17▼	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
18▼	Grêmio 0-1	29	-9	29
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18