Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 4Full time
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea
Model's readVitality Stadium
1 45%X 26%2 29%
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
74.3%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →BournemouthLLWDWChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
EnhancedBournemouth slight favourites, goals look likely
The model makes Bournemouth the slight favourites at 45%, with Chelsea at 29% and a draw at 26%. Expected goals of 3.07 in total put over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 62%, so goals look like the stronger angle. These are probabilities, not certainties.
Match result
1X2Bournemouth45.3%
Draw25.7%
Chelsea29.0%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Bournemouth
Above average
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
BournemouthLast 10 gamesChelsea1.10Points per game1.90
1.5Goals scored per game2.6
1.6Goals conceded per game1.9
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
80%Both teams scored80%
10%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Bournemouth
5
Draws
4
Chelsea
- 30 Dec 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
- 6 Dec 25Bournemouth 0-0 Chelsea
- 14 Jan 25Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
- 14 Sept 24Bournemouth 0-1 Chelsea
- 19 May 24Chelsea 2-1 Bournemouth