Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

68.1%

xG

1.4 – 1.6

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

60%

Form

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LiverpoolWWDWW

Manchester CityWWWWW

Match analysis

Enhanced

Away or Draw is the model's strongest read at 68%

The model's strongest pick is Away or Draw (X2) at 68%, well above the 58% norm for this competition. That gap is the signal, not the raw figure. Manchester City are the single most likely winner at 41%, but the draw-or-away side is still the stronger read. Nothing here is guaranteed.

Match result

1X2

Liverpool31.9%

Draw26.6%

Manchester City41.5%

Model rating

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6.8

Liverpool

Above average

8.5

Manchester City

Elite

LiverpoolLast 10 games

Manchester City

1.70Points per game2.50

1.6Goals scored per game2.3

1.2Goals conceded per game0.8

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

70%Both teams scored50%

30%Clean sheets50%

10%Failed to score0%

Recent results

LiverpoolWWDWW

Manchester CityWWWWW

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	+4	12
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	+6	9
5	Leeds United	5	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	+3	9
7	Everton	5	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	+2	8
9	Newcastle United	5	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	-2	7
11	Ipswich Town	5	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	-2	3
18	Coventry City	5	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	-3	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur	5	-6	2