Manchester City vs Liverpool Prediction — English Premier League

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

77.0%

xG

1.8 – 1.2

Over 2.5

58%

Both score

59%

Form

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Manchester CityWWWWW

LiverpoolWWDWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Manchester City favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.84 goals for Manchester City and 1.17 for Liverpool, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
Expected goals: 1.84 - 1.17
Clean sheet chance: Manchester City 31%, Liverpool 16%

Match result

1X2

Manchester City52.1%

Draw24.9%

Liverpool23.0%

Model rating

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8.5

Manchester City

Elite

6.8

Liverpool

Above average

Manchester CityLast 10 games

Liverpool

2.50Points per game1.70

2.3Goals scored per game1.6

0.8Goals conceded per game1.2

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

50%Both teams scored70%

50%Clean sheets30%

0%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Manchester CityWWWWW

LiverpoolWWDWW

English Premier League

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	+5	15
3	Brighton and Hove Albion	6	+13	13
4▲	Everton36′ 1-0	6	+4	12
5▼	Brentford	6	+6	10
6▼	Chelsea	6	+2	10
7▼	Leeds United	6	+3	9
8▼	Liverpool	5	+3	9
9	Ipswich Town	6	-3	9
10	Hull City36′ 0-1	6	+1	8
11	Newcastle United	5	0	8
12▲	Nottingham Forest36′ 1-0	6	0	8
13▼	Manchester United	6	0	6
14	Aston Villa	6	-5	5
15	Crystal Palace36′ 0-1	6	-6	4
16	Sunderland	6	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	-6	3
18	Tottenham Hotspur	6	-6	3
19	Coventry City	5	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	-4	2