Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 28Full time
Brentford
0-1
Aston Villa
Model's readBrentford Community Stadium
1 44%X 27%2 29%
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
79.8%
xG
1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →BrentfordDWWDDAston VillaDWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedBrentford favoured at 44%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.62 goals for Brentford and 1.29 for Aston Villa, giving 44% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.62 - 1.29
- Clean sheet chance: Brentford 28%, Aston Villa 20%
Match result
1X2Brentford44.0%
Draw26.7%
Aston Villa29.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Brentford
Above average
5.8
Aston Villa
Above average
BrentfordLast 10 gamesAston Villa1.80Points per game1.70
2.3Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
80%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Brentford
3
Draws
4
Aston Villa
- 1 Feb 26Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford
- 16 Sept 25Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
- 23 Aug 25Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa
- 8 Mar 25Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa
- 4 Dec 24Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford