Lyon vs Toulouse prediction, French Ligue 1
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
76.7%
xG
1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.5
54%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →
LyonLWWDW
ToulouseDWDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedLyon favoured at 52%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.74 goals for Lyon and 1.10 for Toulouse, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.74 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Lyon 33%, Toulouse 18%
Match result
1X2Lyon51.7%
Draw25.0%
Toulouse23.3%
Model rating
All ratings →7.1
Lyon
Strong
5.3
Toulouse
Average
LyonLast 10 gamesToulouse1.80Points per game1.40
1.8Goals scored per game1.5
0.8Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
60%Both teams scored70%
40%Clean sheets10%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
French Ligue 1
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Lyon | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |  Lille | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |  Lens | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Angers | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Strasbourg | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Le Mans | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Auxerre | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 |  Brest | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Lorient | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Toulouse | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nice | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Troyes | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Marseille | 5 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 5 | -3 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Lyon
2
Draws
2
Toulouse
- 22 Aug 26Toulouse 0-2 Lyon
- 10 May 26Toulouse 2-1 Lyon
- 5 Oct 25Lyon 1-2 Toulouse
- 18 Jan 25Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
- 29 Sept 24Toulouse 1-2 Lyon