
Utrecht
3-2

Willem II
Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
60%
Utrecht are the model's pick at 64%, well above the 44% norm for home wins here. Expected goals are 2.32 for Utrecht and 1.06 for Willem II. The 36% chance of not winning is real, so treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Utrecht
Above average
Willem II
Weak
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1▲ | 8 | +19 | 20 | |
| 2 | 8 | +16 | 19 | |
| 3▼ | 8 | +11 | 19 | |
| 4 | 7 | +8 | 16 | |
| 5 | 7 | +12 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | -1 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 13 | 7 | -7 | 5 | |
| 14 | 7 | -9 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -13 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | -14 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | -10 | 2 | |
| 18 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
7
Utrecht
1
Draws
2
Willem II