AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Our pick Strong
Home Win
75.0%
xG
2.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
52%
Form
Full stats →
AZ AlkmaarLWLDW
Willem IILLDLDMatch analysis
Model generatedAZ Alkmaar favoured at 75%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.59 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 0.79 for Willem II, giving 75% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 8% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 11%
- Expected goals: 2.59 - 0.79
- Clean sheet chance: AZ Alkmaar 45%, Willem II 8%
Match result
1X2AZ Alkmaar75.0%
Draw16.7%
Willem II8.3%
Model rating
All ratings →7.2
AZ Alkmaar
Strong
2.8
Willem II
Weak
AZ AlkmaarLast 10 gamesWillem II2.00Points per game0.60
2.1Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game2.4
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
50%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score20%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 4 |  Twente | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 7 | +12 | 14 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
AZ Alkmaar
3
Draws
3
Willem II
- 11 Sept 26AZ Alkmaar 1-1 Willem II
- 2 Feb 25Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 10 Nov 24AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Willem II
- 20 Mar 22Willem II 2-2 AZ Alkmaar
- 18 Dec 21AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Willem II