Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, Dutch Eredivisie
Dutch Eredivisie · Round 17Full time
Willem II
4-1
NEC Nijmegen
Model's readKoning Willem II Stadion
1 17%X 22%2 61%
Our pick
Away Win
61.4%
xG
1.1 – 2.2
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →Willem IILLLDLNEC NijmegenDDLLDMatch analysis
Model generatedNEC Nijmegen favoured at 61%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.11 goals for Willem II and 2.22 for NEC Nijmegen, giving 17% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 61% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 1.11 - 2.22
- Clean sheet chance: Willem II 11%, NEC Nijmegen 33%
Match result
1X2Willem II16.8%
Draw21.9%
NEC Nijmegen61.4%
Model rating
All ratings →2.8
Willem II
Weak
6.0
NEC Nijmegen
Above average
Willem IILast 10 gamesNEC Nijmegen0.60Points per game0.90
0.9Goals scored per game1.3
2.4Goals conceded per game2.3
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored70%
10%Clean sheets0%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Dutch Eredivisie
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 |  Excelsior | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | -9 | 5 |
| 15 |  Utrecht | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 7 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 7 | -10 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | -14 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Willem II
3
Draws
6
NEC Nijmegen
- 15 Aug 26Willem II 1-4 NEC Nijmegen
- 3 May 25NEC Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II
- 22 Dec 24Willem II 4-1 NEC Nijmegen
- 22 Dec 21Willem II 0-1 NEC Nijmegen
- 12 Sept 21NEC Nijmegen 0-0 Willem II