NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick

Home Win

69.4%

xG

2.5 – 1.0

Over 2.5

67%

Both score

58%

Form

Full stats →

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

Willem IILLLDL

Match analysis

Model generated

NEC Nijmegen favoured at 69%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 2.48 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.97 for Willem II, giving 69% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 at 10%
Expected goals: 2.48 - 0.97
Clean sheet chance: NEC Nijmegen 38%, Willem II 8%

Match result

1X2

NEC Nijmegen69.4%

Draw18.8%

Willem II11.8%

Model rating

All ratings →

6.0

NEC Nijmegen

Above average

2.8

Willem II

Weak

NEC NijmegenLast 10 games

Willem II

0.90Points per game0.60

1.3Goals scored per game0.9

2.3Goals conceded per game2.4

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

70%Both teams scored70%

0%Clean sheets10%

30%Failed to score20%

Recent results

NEC NijmegenDDLLD

Willem IILLLDL

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	+20	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	+10	19
4	Twente	8	+8	17
5	Ajax	8	+12	15
6	Fortuna Sittard	8	-1	14
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	8	+2	11
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	8	-1	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	8	-7	6
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2