Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 33Full time
Queens Park Rangers
4-0
Derby County
Model's readMATRADE Loftus Road
1 46%X 27%2 27%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.3%
xG
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →Queens Park RangersDDDDLDerby CountyDDLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedQueens Park Rangers favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.54 goals for Queens Park Rangers and 1.12 for Derby County, giving 46% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 27% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.54 - 1.12
- Clean sheet chance: Queens Park Rangers 33%, Derby County 21%
Match result
1X2Queens Park Rangers46.0%
Draw27.3%
Derby County26.7%
Model rating
All ratings →—
Queens Park Rangers
Not rated yet
5.0
Derby County
Average
Queens Park RangersLast 10 gamesDerby County1.50Points per game0.60
1.2Goals scored per game0.9
0.9Goals conceded per game1.7
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
70%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
30%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Queens Park RangersDDDDLEnglish Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings5
Queens Park Rangers
1
Draws
4
Derby County
- 25 Apr 26Queens Park Rangers 2-3 Derby County
- 25 Oct 25Derby County 1-0 Queens Park Rangers
- 14 Feb 25Queens Park Rangers 4-0 Derby County
- 5 Oct 24Derby County 2-0 Queens Park Rangers
- 18 Apr 22Queens Park Rangers 1-0 Derby County