West Brom vs Derby County prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 44Full time
West Brom
1-3
Derby County
Model's readThe Hawthorns
1 46%X 29%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.9%
xG
1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.5
44%
Both score
49%
Form
Full stats →West BromLLDWWDerby CountyDDLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedWest Brom favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.43 goals for West Brom and 0.99 for Derby County, giving 46% for the home win, 29% for the draw and 25% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.43 - 0.99
- Clean sheet chance: West Brom 37%, Derby County 24%
Match result
1X2West Brom46.2%
Draw28.7%
Derby County25.1%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
West Brom
Above average
5.0
Derby County
Average
West BromLast 10 gamesDerby County1.40Points per game0.60
1.2Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%
Recent results
West BromLLDWWEnglish Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 | West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
West Brom
4
Draws
4
Derby County
- 9 Sept 26Derby County 0-1 West Brom
- 23 Jan 26Derby County 1-1 West Brom
- 13 Sept 25West Brom 0-1 Derby County
- 12 Aug 25West Brom 1-1 Derby County
- 21 Apr 25West Brom 1-3 Derby County