Roma vs Lecce Prediction — Italian Serie A

Our pick

Home Win

68.2%

xG

2.0 – 0.7

Over 2.5

50%

Both score

43%

Form

Full stats →

RomaDDWDW

LecceLWLLW

Match analysis

Model generated

Roma favoured at 68%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.98 goals for Roma and 0.69 for Lecce, giving 68% for the home win, 20% for the draw and 12% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 14%
Expected goals: 1.98 - 0.69
Clean sheet chance: Roma 50%, Lecce 14%

Match result

1X2

Roma68.2%

Draw19.5%

Lecce12.2%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.1

Roma

Strong

4.4

Lecce

Average

RomaLast 10 games

Lecce

2.40Points per game1.50

2.2Goals scored per game1.1

0.6Goals conceded per game1.6

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored30%

60%Clean sheets20%

10%Failed to score50%

Recent results

RomaDDWDW

LecceLWLLW

Italian Serie A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Inter Milan	6	+10	16
2▲	Lazio74′ 2-1	6	+6	16
3▼	Roma	5	+11	13
4	Cagliari	5	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	+6	11
6	Napoli	6	+4	10
7	Juventus	5	+4	10
8	Como	5	+3	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	5	0	7
11▲	Lecce71′ 1-1	6	-5	7
12▼	Atalanta	5	-2	6
13	Udinese	5	-3	4
14	Torino	5	-3	4
15	Monza74′ 1-2	6	-5	4
16	Genoa	6	-6	4
17	Parma	6	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	-7	4
19	Bologna71′ 1-1	6	-3	3
20	Venezia	5	-9	0