Benfica vs Moreirense prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 21Full time
Benfica
3-2
Moreirense
Model's readEstádio da Luz
1 76%X 15%2 9%
Our pick Strong
Home Win
75.6%
xG
2.5 – 0.7
Over 2.5
63%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →BenficaLWWWWMoreirenseLDWLLMatch analysis
EnhancedBenfica home win favoured at 76% in the model
The model makes Benfica clear favourites at 76%, well above the 43% norm for home wins in this competition. It expects 2.49 goals for Benfica and 0.75 for Moreirense. Benfica have won 43 of their 55 home games, so the case rests on that gap.
Match result
1X2Benfica75.6%
Draw15.1%
Moreirense9.3%
Model rating
All ratings →9.0
Benfica
Elite
4.9
Moreirense
Average
BenficaLast 10 gamesMoreirense2.50Points per game0.90
2.9Goals scored per game0.8
0.8Goals conceded per game1.7
80%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored40%
40%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score50%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Benfica
4
Draws
0
Moreirense
- 9 Sept 26Moreirense 0-4 Benfica
- 25 Apr 26Benfica 4-1 Moreirense
- 14 Dec 25Moreirense 0-4 Benfica
- 8 Feb 25Benfica 3-2 Moreirense
- 30 Aug 24Moreirense 1-1 Benfica