Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
38%
Both score
45%
The model projects 1.14 goals for Madagascar and 1.06 for Comoros, giving 37% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Madagascar
Above average
Comoros
Above average
5
Madagascar
2
Draws
1
Comoros