Equatorial Guinea vs Liberia prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Africa Cup of Nations · Round 3Full time
Equatorial Guinea
1-0
Liberia
Model's readNuevo Estadio de Malabo
1 33%X 31%2 36%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
66.6%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
Equatorial GuineaLDWWL
LiberiaWLDLLMatch analysis
Model generatedLiberia favoured at 36%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.06 goals for Equatorial Guinea and 1.10 for Liberia, giving 33% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 36% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.06 - 1.10
- Clean sheet chance: Equatorial Guinea 33%, Liberia 35%
Match result
1X2Equatorial Guinea33.4%
Draw31.1%
Liberia35.6%
Model rating
All ratings →5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
5.2
Liberia
Average
Equatorial GuineaLast 10 gamesLiberia1.10Points per game1.20
0.7Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
20%Over 2.5 goals60%
40%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets0%
30%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings4
Equatorial Guinea
3
Draws
1
Liberia
- 13 Oct 25Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Liberia
- 14 Oct 24Liberia 1-2 Equatorial Guinea
- 11 Oct 24Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Liberia
- 20 Nov 23Liberia 3-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 21 Jul 19Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Liberia