Liberia vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, Africa Cup of Nations
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
64.4%
xG
1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
37%
Both score
44%
Form
Full stats →
LiberiaWLDLL
Equatorial GuineaLDWWLMatch analysis
Model generatedLiberia favoured at 36%, in a tight game
The model projects 1.10 goals for Liberia and 1.06 for Equatorial Guinea, giving 36% for the home win, 31% for the draw and 33% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 4449 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 14%
- Expected goals: 1.10 - 1.06
- Clean sheet chance: Liberia 35%, Equatorial Guinea 33%
Match result
1X2Liberia35.6%
Draw31.1%
Equatorial Guinea33.4%
Model rating
All ratings →5.2
Liberia
Average
5.5
Equatorial Guinea
Above average
LiberiaLast 10 gamesEquatorial Guinea1.20Points per game1.10
1.3Goals scored per game0.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.1
60%Over 2.5 goals20%
60%Both teams scored40%
0%Clean sheets30%
40%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 8 meetings1
Liberia
3
Draws
4
Equatorial Guinea
- 13 Oct 25Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Liberia
- 14 Oct 24Liberia 1-2 Equatorial Guinea
- 11 Oct 24Equatorial Guinea 1-0 Liberia
- 20 Nov 23Liberia 3-0 Equatorial Guinea
- 21 Jul 19Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Liberia