Vanuatu vs Papua New Guinea prediction, International Friendlies
International Friendlies · Round 3Full time
Vanuatu
1-2
Papua New Guinea
Model's readPort Vila Municipal Stadium
1 58%X 24%2 18%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
79.0%
xG
1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
54%
Form
Full stats →
VanuatuWDWDW
Papua New GuineaDLLDWMatch analysis
Model generatedVanuatu favoured at 58%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.89 goals for Vanuatu and 0.98 for Papua New Guinea, giving 58% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 10105 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.89 - 0.98
- Clean sheet chance: Vanuatu 37%, Papua New Guinea 15%
Match result
1X2Vanuatu57.8%
Draw23.8%
Papua New Guinea18.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.0
Vanuatu
Above average
5.0
Papua New Guinea
Average
VanuatuLast 10 gamesPapua New Guinea1.80Points per game1.30
2.0Goals scored per game0.8
1.4Goals conceded per game1.1
70%Over 2.5 goals30%
80%Both teams scored40%
20%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score40%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 3 meetings1
Vanuatu
1
Draws
1
Papua New Guinea
- 23 Nov 25Papua New Guinea 1-1 Vanuatu
- 21 Dec 24Vanuatu 1-2 Papua New Guinea
- 14 Oct 23Papua New Guinea 0-1 Vanuatu