Brighton and Hove Albion vs Chelsea prediction, English FA Cup
Our pick
Home or Away (12)
75.4%
xG
1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
61%
Form
Full stats →
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWD
ChelseaWLDWLMatch analysis
Model generatedBrighton and Hove Albion favoured at 46%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.73 goals for Brighton and Hove Albion and 1.34 for Chelsea, giving 46% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 29% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
- Expected goals: 1.73 - 1.34
- Clean sheet chance: Brighton and Hove Albion 26%, Chelsea 18%
Match result
1X2Brighton and Hove Albion46.1%
Draw24.6%
Chelsea29.3%
Model rating
All ratings →6.8
Brighton and Hove Albion
Above average
5.7
Chelsea
Above average
Brighton and Hove AlbionLast 10 gamesChelsea2.00Points per game1.90
2.5Goals scored per game2.6
1.0Goals conceded per game1.9
70%Over 2.5 goals90%
30%Both teams scored80%
60%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
Brighton and Hove AlbionWWWWD
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Brighton and Hove Albion
0
Draws
4
Chelsea
- 30 Aug 26Chelsea 4-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 21 Apr 26Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 27 Sept 25Chelsea 1-3 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 14 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Chelsea
- 8 Feb 25Brighton and Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea