Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction — Brazilian Série A

Our pick Strong

Home or Away (12)

76.1%

xG

1.8 – 0.8

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

46%

Form

Full stats →

PalmeirasWDWDD

BahiaLLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Palmeiras favoured at 62%, in a middling game

The model projects 1.81 goals for Palmeiras and 0.77 for Bahia, giving 62% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 15% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 at 13%
Expected goals: 1.81 - 0.77
Clean sheet chance: Palmeiras 46%, Bahia 16%

Match result

1X2

Palmeiras61.5%

Draw23.9%

Bahia14.6%

Model rating

All ratings →

8.9

Palmeiras

Elite

6.4

Bahia

Above average

PalmeirasLast 10 games

Bahia

1.60Points per game1.60

1.5Goals scored per game1.5

0.7Goals conceded per game1.2

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

40%Both teams scored60%

60%Clean sheets30%

30%Failed to score30%

Recent results

PalmeirasWDWDD

BahiaLLWWW

Brazilian Série A

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	+26	57
3	Athletico Paranaense	28	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	+2	45
7	Atlético Mineiro55′ 0-0	28	+4	41
8	Santos55′ 0-0	28	+1	39
9	Coritiba	28	-6	38
10	Bragantino	27	+2	36
11	São Paulo	27	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	-4	35
13	Vitória	28	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	-9	32
16	Vasco da Gama	27	-7	31
17	Grêmio	28	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	-6	28
19	Remo	28	-15	23
20	Chapecoense	27	-24	18