Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round 16Full time
Real Madrid
2-1
Atlético Madrid
Model's readEstadio Santiago Bernabéu
1 54%X 21%2 25%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
74.9%
xG
2.1 – 1.4
Over 2.5
66%
Both score
65%
Form
Full stats →Real MadridWLWWWAtlético MadridWWWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedReal Madrid or draw (1X) is the strongest read
The model's strongest pick is Home or Draw at 75%, above the 69% norm for this competition. It makes Real Madrid the favourite at 54%, with a draw at 21% and an Atlético Madrid win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals sits at 66%.
Match result
1X2Real Madrid53.8%
Draw21.1%
Atlético Madrid25.1%
Real MadridLast 10 gamesAtlético Madrid2.40Points per game1.90
2.5Goals scored per game2.0
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
80%Over 2.5 goals90%
70%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets30%
10%Failed to score10%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Real Madrid
4
Draws
4
Atlético Madrid
- 20 Sept 26Atlético Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid
- 22 Mar 26Real Madrid 3-2 Atlético Madrid
- 27 Sept 25Atlético Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid
- 12 Mar 25Atlético Madrid 1-0 Real Madrid
- 4 Mar 25Real Madrid 2-1 Atlético Madrid