Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction, English Premier League
English Premier League · Round 22Full time
Manchester United
2-0
Manchester City
Model's readOld Trafford
1 33%X 26%2 41%
Our pick
Away or Draw (X2)
67.2%
xG
1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.5
59%
Both score
62%
Form
Full stats →Manchester UnitedDDLLWManchester CityWWWWWMatch analysis
EnhancedAway or Draw is the strongest read in this derby
The model gives Away or Draw (X2) 67%, well above the 58% norm for this competition, so it is the strongest read. Manchester City are the single most likely winner at 41%, and both teams to score sits at 62%. These are model probabilities, not certainties.
Match result
1X2Manchester United32.8%
Draw26.1%
Manchester City41.1%
Model rating
All ratings →6.5
Manchester United
Above average
8.5
Manchester City
Elite
Manchester UnitedLast 10 gamesManchester City1.50Points per game2.50
2.1Goals scored per game2.3
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
60%Over 2.5 goals50%
60%Both teams scored50%
20%Clean sheets50%
20%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Manchester UnitedDDLLW
English Premier League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton and Hove Albion | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5▲ |  Everton65′ 1-1 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 6▼ |  Chelsea | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7▼ |  Leeds United | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 8▼ |  Liverpool | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 9▲ |  Hull City65′ 1-1 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 10▼ |  Ipswich Town | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 12▲ |  Crystal Palace64′ 3-1 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13▼ | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14▼ |  Nottingham Forest64′ 1-3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15▼ |  Aston Villa | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 5 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three Moving with 2 games in play
Head to head
Previous meetingsNo previous meetings found in the available data.