Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Prediction — Dutch Eredivisie

Our pick Strong

Away or Draw (X2)

78.5%

xG

1.2 – 2.1

Over 2.5

64%

Both score

63%

Form

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Fortuna SittardDWLWW

AjaxDDWWL

Match analysis

Model generated

Ajax favoured at 55%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.24 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 2.05 for Ajax, giving 21% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 55% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.24 - 2.05
Clean sheet chance: Fortuna Sittard 13%, Ajax 29%

Match result

1X2

Fortuna Sittard21.5%

Draw23.6%

Ajax54.9%

Model rating

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Fortuna Sittard

Not rated yet

7.4

Ajax

Strong

Fortuna SittardLast 10 games

Ajax

1.70Points per game1.90

1.7Goals scored per game3.1

1.9Goals conceded per game1.7

60%Over 2.5 goals90%

70%Both teams scored90%

10%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score0%

Recent results

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

AjaxDDWWL

Dutch Eredivisie

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	+12	19
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	+16	19
3	Feyenoord	7	+18	17
4	Twente	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	+2	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	8	0	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	-14	2