West Brom vs Derby County Prediction — English Championship

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

74.9%

xG

1.4 – 1.0

Over 2.5

44%

Both score

49%

Form

Full stats →

West BromLLDWW

Derby CountyDDLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

West Brom favoured at 46%, but a draw is close

The model makes West Brom the most likely winner at 46%, with a draw at 29% and Derby County at 25%. It projects 1.43 goals for West Brom and 0.99 for Derby. Under 2.5 goals is slightly more likely at 56%, so a tight game is the base case.

Match result

1X2

West Brom46.2%

Draw28.7%

Derby County25.1%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.7

West Brom

Above average

5.0

Derby County

Average

West BromLast 10 games

Derby County

1.40Points per game0.60

1.2Goals scored per game0.9

1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

40%Over 2.5 goals60%

60%Both teams scored60%

20%Clean sheets10%

20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

West BromLLDWW

Derby CountyDDLLL

English Championship

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Swansea	8	+7	17
2	West Ham United	8	+11	15
3	Middlesbrough	8	+4	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers	7	+5	14
5	West Brom	8	+2	14
6	Queens Park Rangers	8	+3	13
7	Stoke	8	+1	13
8	Bristol City	8	-1	13
9	Charlton Athletic	8	-3	12
10	Birmingham City	8	+1	11
11	Millwall	8	0	11
12	Lincoln City	8	-1	11
13	Southampton	8	+9	10
14	Wrexham	8	-3	10
15	Bolton Wanderers	8	-4	10
16	Blackburn Rovers	8	0	9
17	Norwich	8	-1	9
18	Sheffield United	8	-2	9
19	Portsmouth	7	-1	8
20	Watford	8	-3	8
21	Cardiff	8	-2	7
22	Derby County	8	-7	5
23	Preston North End	8	-7	4
24	Burnley	8	-8	4