Southampton vs Swansea prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 10Full time
Southampton
0-0
Swansea
Model's readSt. Mary's Stadium
1 52%X 25%2 23%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
76.8%
xG
1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.5
56%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →SouthamptonLWWDDSwanseaWWWLDMatch analysis
Model generatedSouthampton favoured at 52%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.80 goals for Southampton and 1.14 for Swansea, giving 52% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 23% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.80 - 1.14
- Clean sheet chance: Southampton 32%, Swansea 16%
Match result
1X2Southampton51.9%
Draw24.9%
Swansea23.2%
Model rating
All ratings →7.5
Southampton
Strong
6.7
Swansea
Above average
SouthamptonLast 10 gamesSwansea1.70Points per game2.00
2.2Goals scored per game1.5
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
70%Over 2.5 goals60%
90%Both teams scored50%
10%Clean sheets40%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings7
Southampton
2
Draws
1
Swansea
- 8 Sept 26Southampton 3-1 Swansea
- 18 Apr 26Swansea 1-2 Southampton
- 18 Oct 25Southampton 0-0 Swansea
- 12 Jan 25Southampton 3-0 Swansea
- 20 Jan 24Swansea 1-3 Southampton