Swansea vs Southampton prediction, English Championship
English Championship · Round 43Full time
Swansea
1-2
Southampton
Model's readSwansea.com Stadium
1 35%X 27%2 39%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
79.3%
xG
1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →SwanseaWWWLDSouthamptonLWWDDMatch analysis
Model generatedSouthampton favoured at 39%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.40 goals for Swansea and 1.49 for Southampton, giving 35% for the home win, 27% for the draw and 39% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 13%
- Expected goals: 1.40 - 1.49
- Clean sheet chance: Swansea 23%, Southampton 25%
Match result
1X2Swansea34.8%
Draw26.7%
Southampton38.5%
Model rating
All ratings →6.7
Swansea
Above average
7.5
Southampton
Strong
SwanseaLast 10 gamesSouthampton2.00Points per game1.70
1.5Goals scored per game2.2
0.8Goals conceded per game1.4
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored90%
40%Clean sheets10%
30%Failed to score0%
Recent results
English Championship
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |  West Ham United | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | -8 | 4 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings1
Swansea
2
Draws
7
Southampton
- 8 Sept 26Southampton 3-1 Swansea
- 18 Apr 26Swansea 1-2 Southampton
- 18 Oct 25Southampton 0-0 Swansea
- 12 Jan 25Southampton 3-0 Swansea
- 20 Jan 24Swansea 1-3 Southampton