Freiburg vs Hamburg prediction, German Bundesliga
German Bundesliga · Round 16Full time
Freiburg
2-1
Hamburg
Model's readEuropa-Park Stadion
1 59%X 22%2 18%
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
77.9%
xG
2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →FreiburgDWWWWHamburgWWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedFreiburg favoured at 59%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.07 goals for Freiburg and 1.08 for Hamburg, giving 59% for the home win, 22% for the draw and 18% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.07 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Freiburg 34%, Hamburg 13%
Match result
1X2Freiburg59.5%
Draw22.1%
Hamburg18.4%
Model rating
All ratings →6.2
Freiburg
Above average
4.3
Hamburg
Average
FreiburgLast 10 gamesHamburg2.20Points per game1.30
2.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.3Goals conceded per game2.4
90%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored70%
20%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings2
Freiburg
5
Draws
3
Hamburg
- 10 May 26Hamburg 3-2 Freiburg
- 10 Jan 26Freiburg 2-1 Hamburg
- 21 Apr 18Hamburg 1-0 Freiburg
- 1 Dec 17Freiburg 0-0 Hamburg
- 18 Feb 17Hamburg 2-2 Freiburg