Mainz vs Hamburg prediction, German Bundesliga
Our pick Strong
Home or Away (12)
77.4%
xG
2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →
MainzLWLWD
HamburgWWLLLMatch analysis
Model generatedMainz favoured at 58%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.02 goals for Mainz and 1.11 for Hamburg, giving 58% for the home win, 23% for the draw and 20% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.02 - 1.11
- Clean sheet chance: Mainz 33%, Hamburg 13%
Match result
1X2Mainz57.6%
Draw22.6%
Hamburg19.7%
Model rating
All ratings →5.7
Mainz
Above average
4.3
Hamburg
Average
MainzLast 10 gamesHamburg1.40Points per game1.30
2.2Goals scored per game1.3
1.9Goals conceded per game2.4
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
70%Both teams scored70%
30%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score30%
Recent results
German Bundesliga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 2 |  Bayern Munich | 4 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 |  Augsburg | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 | Mainz | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Elversberg | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Schalke 04 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Paderborn | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |  Köln | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Hoffenheim | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburg | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 10 meetings4
Mainz
4
Draws
2
Hamburg
- 6 Sept 26Hamburg 0-5 Mainz
- 20 Feb 26Mainz 1-1 Hamburg
- 5 Oct 25Hamburg 4-0 Mainz
- 3 Mar 18Hamburg 0-0 Mainz
- 14 Oct 17Mainz 3-2 Hamburg