Our pick
Home Win
xG
2.3 – 0.8
Over 2.5
61%
Both score
52%
The model makes Borussia Dortmund the clear favourite at 70%, against a 43% norm for home wins in this competition. Its expected goals are 2.32 for Dortmund and 0.84 for Hamburg, and over 2.5 goals sits at 61%. A 70% call is still a probability, not a guarantee.
Borussia Dortmund
Strong
Hamburg
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +7 | 13 | |
| 2 | 4 | +12 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | +9 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 6 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 7 | 4 | +4 | 7 | |
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | +4 | 6 | |
| 10 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 11 | 4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 12 | 4 | -2 | 4 | |
| 13 | 4 | -3 | 4 | |
| 14 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 15 | 4 | -3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 4 | -11 | 3 | |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | 1 | |
| 18 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
7
Borussia Dortmund
2
Draws
1
Hamburg