Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
47%
The model makes Barcelona strong favourites at 78%, with Valencia at 7%. Expected goals are 2.65 against 0.71, and Valencia have failed to score in 3 of their last 6. The 78% is well above the 46% norm for this competition, which is why it is the strongest read.
Barcelona
Elite
Valencia
Average
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +24 | 21 | |
| 2▲ | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3▼ | 7 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4▼ | 7 | +2 | 16 | |
| 5 | 7 | +1 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | +5 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | -4 | 10 | |
| 9▲ | 6 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10▼ | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 7 | -3 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | -5 | 8 | |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | 8 | |
| 15 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 7 | |
| 17 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 7 | -6 | 5 | |
| 19 | 7 | -9 | 4 | |
| 20 | 8 | -9 | 4 |
8
Barcelona
1
Draws
1
Valencia