Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction — Spanish La Liga

Our pick

Away or Draw (X2)

72.4%

xG

1.3 – 1.7

Over 2.5

57%

Both score

59%

Form

Full stats →

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Real MadridWLWWW

Match analysis

Model generated

Real Madrid favoured at 48%, in a high-scoring game

The model projects 1.25 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.73 for Real Madrid, giving 28% for the home win, 24% for the draw and 48% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.

Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 11%
Expected goals: 1.25 - 1.73
Clean sheet chance: Rayo Vallecano 18%, Real Madrid 29%

Match result

1X2

Rayo Vallecano27.6%

Draw24.1%

Real Madrid48.3%

Model rating

All ratings →

5.5

Rayo Vallecano

Above average

8.2

Real Madrid

Strong

Rayo VallecanoLast 10 games

Real Madrid

1.20Points per game2.40

1.3Goals scored per game2.5

1.8Goals conceded per game1.1

60%Over 2.5 goals80%

80%Both teams scored70%

10%Clean sheets20%

20%Failed to score10%

Recent results

Rayo VallecanoDDWLW

Real MadridWLWWW

Spanish La Liga

Full table →

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	8	+27	24
2	Atlético Madrid	8	+10	19
3	Real Madrid	8	+11	18
4	Real Betis	7	+2	16
5	Sevilla	7	+1	13
6▲	Real SociedadHT 2-0	8	-2	13
7▼	Deportivo Alavés	8	+4	11
8▼	Deportivo de A CoruñaHT 0-2	8	0	10
9	Athletic Bilbao	6	+1	8
10	Villarreal	8	0	8
11	Espanyol	8	0	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	-5	8
13	Getafe	8	-6	8
14	Osasuna	7	-7	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	+2	7
16	Racing de Santander	7	-10	7
17	Levante	6	-4	5
18	Elche	7	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	-9	4
20	Málaga	8	-9	4