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West Brom vs Derby County prediction, English EFL Cup

English EFL Cup · Round 1Full time

West Brom

1-1

Tue, 12 Aug

Derby County

Model's readThe Hawthorns
1 46%X 27%2 27%

Our pick

Home or Draw (1X)

73.0%

xG

1.5 – 1.1

Over 2.5

48%

Both score

52%

Form

Full stats →
West BromLLDWW
Derby CountyDDLLL

Match analysis

Enhanced

West Brom favoured at 46%, but only a modest edge

The model makes West Brom the most likely winner at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Derby County. Expected goals are 1.50 for West Brom and 1.09 for Derby, so the lean is real but small. Treat it as a lean, not a lock.

Selections

Ask KiqStat about this match

West Brom v Derby County

Model estimates, not facts. 18+, bet responsibly. See our record

Match result

1X2
West Brom46.0%
Draw27.0%
Derby County27.0%

Model rating

All ratings →
5.7

West Brom

Above average

5.0

Derby County

Average

West BromLast 10 gamesDerby County
1.40Points per game0.60
1.2Goals scored per game0.9
1.2Goals conceded per game1.7
40%Over 2.5 goals60%
60%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets10%
20%Failed to score30%

Recent results

West BromLLDWW
  • 10 OctHBirmingham City0-1
  • 20 SeptAWolverhampton Wanderers0-1
  • 12 SeptHQueens Park Rangers1-1
  • 9 SeptADerby County1-0
  • 5 SeptHWatford1-0
  • 2 SeptHCharlton Athletic1-1
Derby CountyDDLLL
  • 10 OctHWrexham1-1
  • 19 SeptABurnley1-1
  • 12 SeptHBirmingham City1-2
  • 9 SeptHWest Brom0-1
  • 5 SeptAWest Ham United0-3
  • 1 SeptAPortsmouth2-0

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

2

West Brom

4

Draws

4

Derby County

  • 9 Sept 26Derby County 0-1 West Brom
  • 23 Jan 26Derby County 1-1 West Brom
  • 13 Sept 25West Brom 0-1 Derby County
  • 12 Aug 25West Brom 1-1 Derby County
  • 21 Apr 25West Brom 1-3 Derby County
Every meeting between these two →