
Sporting CP
2-1

Nacional de Madeira
Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.6 – 0.8
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
50%
The model makes Sporting CP the favourites at 76%, well above the 43% norm for home wins in this competition. It projects 2.57 goals for Sporting and 0.77 for Nacional, so the attack-versus-defence gap drives the call. Even at 76%, roughly one time in four Sporting does not win.
Sporting CP
Elite
Nacional de Madeira
Weak
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +16 | 24 | |
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | +8 | 18 | |
| 4 | 7 | +15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | +3 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 11 | |
| 9 | 7 | 0 | 10 | |
| 10 | 7 | -2 | 8 | |
| 11 | 8 | -5 | 8 | |
| 12 | 8 | -7 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | 4 | |
| 16 | 7 | -10 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | -14 | 4 | |
| 18 | 8 | -8 | 2 |
10
Sporting CP
0
Draws
0
Nacional de Madeira