Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction, Portuguese Primeira Liga
Portuguese Primeira Liga · Round 28Full time
Casa Pia
1-1
Benfica
Model's readEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior
1 10%X 17%2 73%
Our pick Strong
Away Win
73.0%
xG
0.8 – 2.3
Over 2.5
60%
Both score
48%
Form
Full stats →Casa PiaLWLDLBenficaLWWWWMatch analysis
Model generatedBenfica favoured at 73%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 0.75 goals for Casa Pia and 2.33 for Benfica, giving 10% for the home win, 17% for the draw and 73% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1000 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 0-2 at 12%
- Expected goals: 0.75 - 2.33
- Clean sheet chance: Casa Pia 10%, Benfica 47%
Match result
1X2Casa Pia10.5%
Draw16.6%
Benfica73.0%
Model rating
All ratings →3.8
Casa Pia
Weak
9.0
Benfica
Elite
Casa PiaLast 10 gamesBenfica0.80Points per game2.50
0.5Goals scored per game2.9
1.7Goals conceded per game0.8
30%Over 2.5 goals80%
20%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets40%
70%Failed to score0%
Recent results
Portuguese Primeira Liga
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Académico de Viseu | 7 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela Amadora | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitória de Guimarães | 7 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional de Madeira | 7 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 7 | -7 | 2 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 9 meetings1
Casa Pia
3
Draws
5
Benfica
- 17 Aug 26Casa Pia 0-7 Benfica
- 6 Apr 26Casa Pia 1-1 Benfica
- 9 Nov 25Benfica 2-2 Casa Pia
- 25 Jan 25Casa Pia 3-1 Benfica
- 17 Aug 24Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia