Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
xG
1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
54%
The model leans towards Qatar at home, with a 43% chance of a win against 29% for Bahrain and 28% for a draw. Expected goals are 1.48 for Qatar and 1.18 for Bahrain, so it sees a tight contest rather than a one-sided one. Bahrain have won none of their last four away games, which supports the home edge.
Qatar
Average
Bahrain
Average
1
Qatar
4
Draws
3
Bahrain