Our pick Strong
Home Win
xG
2.4 – 0.6
Over 2.5
57%
Both score
40%
The model makes Morocco the clear favourite, with a home win at 78% against a 48% norm for this competition. It expects 2.41 goals for Morocco and only 0.57 for Bahrain. Over 2.5 goals sits at 57%, so a goals-led game is a slight lean, not a strong one.
Morocco
Above average
Bahrain
Average
1
Morocco
0
Draws
0
Bahrain