Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round 1Full time
Liverpool
3-2
Atlético Madrid
Model's readAnfield
1 51%X 23%2 26%
Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
73.6%
xG
1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.5
58%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →LiverpoolLWWDWAtlético MadridWWWWLMatch analysis
EnhancedLiverpool favoured at 51%, with goals likely
The model gives Liverpool a 51% chance of winning, against 23% for a draw and 26% for an Atlético Madrid win. It expects 1.79 goals for Liverpool and 1.23 for Atlético, so over 2.5 goals sits at 58%. Treat these as probabilities, not guarantees.
Match result
1X2Liverpool50.7%
Draw23.0%
Atlético Madrid26.4%
LiverpoolLast 10 gamesAtlético Madrid1.60Points per game1.90
1.5Goals scored per game2.0
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
60%Over 2.5 goals90%
60%Both teams scored60%
30%Clean sheets30%
20%Failed to score10%
Recent results
LiverpoolLWWDW
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 6 meetings5
Liverpool
0
Draws
1
Atlético Madrid
- 9 Sept 26Liverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
- 17 Sept 25Liverpool 3-2 Atlético Madrid
- 3 Nov 21Liverpool 2-0 Atlético Madrid
- 19 Oct 21Atlético Madrid 2-3 Liverpool
- 11 Mar 20Liverpool 1-0 Atlético Madrid