Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal prediction, UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League · Round 5Full time
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
Villarreal
Model's readSignal Iduna Park
1 64%X 19%2 17%
Our pick
Home Win
64.4%
xG
2.3 – 1.1
Over 2.5
65%
Both score
59%
Form
Full stats →Borussia DortmundDWWWWVillarrealLWWLLMatch analysis
Model generatedBorussia Dortmund favoured at 64%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 2.28 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.08 for Villarreal, giving 64% for the home win, 19% for the draw and 17% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 1866 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 2-1 at 10%
- Expected goals: 2.28 - 1.08
- Clean sheet chance: Borussia Dortmund 34%, Villarreal 10%
Match result
1X2Borussia Dortmund64.4%
Draw18.8%
Villarreal16.8%
Borussia DortmundLast 10 gamesVillarreal2.50Points per game1.10
2.3Goals scored per game2.0
0.9Goals conceded per game1.7
60%Over 2.5 goals80%
40%Both teams scored80%
50%Clean sheets0%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
UEFA Champions League
Full table →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Lens | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Real Madrid | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  Arsenal | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Atlético Madrid | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Top four Bottom three
Head to head
Last 2 meetings2
Borussia Dortmund
0
Draws
0
Villarreal
- 8 Sept 26Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal
- 25 Nov 25Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Villarreal