Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction, English EFL Cup
English EFL CupFull time
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Model's readBrentford Community Stadium
1 47%X 25%2 28%
Our pick Strong
Over 1.5 Goals
79.1%
xG
1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5
55%
Both score
58%
Form
Full stats →BrentfordDWWDDAston VillaDWWLWMatch analysis
Model generatedBrentford favoured at 47%, in a high-scoring game
The model projects 1.66 goals for Brentford and 1.24 for Aston Villa, giving 47% for the home win, 25% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.66 - 1.24
- Clean sheet chance: Brentford 29%, Aston Villa 19%
Match result
1X2Brentford46.8%
Draw25.3%
Aston Villa27.9%
Model rating
All ratings →6.3
Brentford
Above average
5.8
Aston Villa
Above average
BrentfordLast 10 gamesAston Villa1.80Points per game1.70
2.3Goals scored per game1.7
1.1Goals conceded per game1.5
70%Over 2.5 goals80%
80%Both teams scored60%
20%Clean sheets20%
0%Failed to score30%
Recent results
Head to head
Last 10 meetings3
Brentford
3
Draws
4
Aston Villa
- 1 Feb 26Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford
- 16 Sept 25Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa
- 23 Aug 25Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa
- 8 Mar 25Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa
- 4 Dec 24Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford