Arsenal vs Brighton and Hove Albion prediction, English EFL Cup
English EFL Cup · Round 4Full time
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton and Hove Albion
Model's readEmirates Stadium
1 46%X 26%2 28%
Our pick
Over 1.5 Goals
76.8%
xG
1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5
52%
Both score
56%
Form
Full stats →ArsenalWLWWWBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWDMatch analysis
Model generatedArsenal favoured at 46%, in a middling game
The model projects 1.58 goals for Arsenal and 1.17 for Brighton and Hove Albion, giving 46% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 28% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2921 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
- Most likely scoreline: 1-1 at 12%
- Expected goals: 1.58 - 1.17
- Clean sheet chance: Arsenal 31%, Brighton and Hove Albion 21%
Match result
1X2Arsenal46.3%
Draw26.1%
Brighton and Hove Albion27.7%
Model rating
All ratings →8.3
Arsenal
Strong
6.8
Brighton and Hove Albion
Above average
ArsenalLast 10 gamesBrighton and Hove Albion2.50Points per game2.00
1.8Goals scored per game2.5
0.9Goals conceded per game1.0
60%Over 2.5 goals70%
50%Both teams scored30%
40%Clean sheets60%
10%Failed to score20%
Recent results
ArsenalWLWWW
Head to head
Last 10 meetings6
Arsenal
2
Draws
2
Brighton and Hove Albion
- 19 Sept 26Brighton and Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
- 4 Mar 26Brighton and Hove Albion 0-1 Arsenal
- 27 Dec 25Arsenal 2-1 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 29 Oct 25Arsenal 2-0 Brighton and Hove Albion
- 4 Jan 25Brighton and Hove Albion 1-1 Arsenal