Our pick Strong
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.5
53%
Both score
54%
The model gives Uganda a 55% chance to win, with 80% for Home or Draw. That 80% sits well above the 72% norm for this competition, which is why it is the clearest read. The raw result is still a home win only about half the time, so treat this as a lean, not a lock.
Uganda
Above average
Chad
Average
2
Uganda
0
Draws
0
Chad