Our pick
Home or Draw (1X)
xG
1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5
51%
Both score
54%
The model projects 1.59 goals for Bristol City and 1.10 for Watford, giving 48% for the home win, 26% for the draw and 26% for the away win. Those rates come from attack and defence ratings fitted to 2843 completed matches in this competition, weighted so recent results count for more.
Bristol City
Above average
Watford
Average
4
Bristol City
3
Draws
3
Watford