Our pick
Under 3.5 Goals
xG
1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.5
45%
Both score
46%
The model favours South Africa at 57%, with a draw at 26% and Nicaragua at 17%. Expected goals are 1.66 for South Africa and 0.81 for Nicaragua, and under 2.5 goals sits at 55%. Nothing here is certain, so treat it as a probability, not a promise.
South Africa
Above average
Nicaragua
Average
0
South Africa
1
Draws
0
Nicaragua